Texas A&M hosts LSU on Saturday evening in a matchup between top-15 groups with similar 6-1 data and unblemished SEC marks.
Year the Aggies are touted for his or her protection, they’ve but to stand a crew with the Tigers’ offensive prowess.
Brian Kelly has all the time been versatile at his other stops when surroundings his groups up consistent with their strengths, and now that he’s at LSU, attracting top-level skill pace then pace is now not a weakness.
In spite of dropping Heisman Trophy winner Jayden Daniels and two first-round receivers, Kelly and the Tigers’ offense can merely reload because of feature intensity that will likely be on show Saturday evening in School Station.
LSU vs. Texas A&M odds
| Crew | Unfold | Moneyline | General |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | +1 (-110) | -105 | o54.5 (-112) |
| Texas A&M | -1 (-110) | -115 | u54.5 (-108) |
LSU outlook
Garrett Nussmeier has finished 55% (69-of-125) of his passes in 3 SEC video games, however Kelly defended his quarterback this era, pronouncing that his offense incentivizes Nussmeier to create extra of his reads additional ill the grassland.
“You’re not getting some of the cupcake throws that keep the chains moving in some other offenses,” Kelly mentioned. “But we feel like that is a better fit for Garrett in terms of what he does. And it’s worked pretty good for our offense.”
Nussmeier’s aggressiveness has surely paid off, as he ranks 7th nationally in yards according to recreation (317.4) and leads the SEC with 18 passing touchdowns.
Consistent with Recreation on Paper, his dropbacks account for 0.27 Anticipated Issues Added (EPA) — the Tenth-best mark within the nation.
The truth is that Kelly’s reliance at the passing recreation is sort of essential given the Tigers’ struggles to walk the ball at the farmland. LSU’s run luck fee is most effective 38.3%, score 99th within the FBS.
Texas A&M outlook
There aren’t any secrets and techniques about how the Aggies will aim to assault LSU. Not like the Tigers, Texas A&M is a extra run-dominant crew, score thirty fourth in yards according to elevate (5.77) and thirty ninth in EPA/quicken (+0.09).
It’s refuse amaze next that the Aggies have a run-play fee of 62.06% — the Eleventh-highest mark within the nation.
The weakness for LSU is that it’s extraordinarily vulnerable towards the run, with combatants averaging 5.29 yards according to elevate (93rd).
Towards South Carolina, the Tigers allowed 243 speeding yards on 5.9 yards according to elevate in a slim 36-33 victory. South Carolina and Texas A&M have very matching profiles, with run charges each ranked within the summit 20.
You’ll make certain Aggies trainer Mike Elko will keep an eye on that recreation tape broadly to pinpoint the Tigers’ vulnerabilities on this key SEC showdown.
LSU vs. Texas A&M select
Up to the Aggies need to retain the ball at the farmland, this high-powered LSU offense would possibly pressure them to quit the run previous than they’d like.
Year Texas A&M has had luck within the passing recreation, it’s extraordinarily younger at quarterback with sophomore Conner Weigman and freshman Marcel Reed.
Weigman reclaimed the launch activity then getting back from a shoulder trauma regardless of Reed going 3-0 year tossing six touchdowns and nil interceptions.
By contrast, Weigman has thrown 3 touchdowns together with 4 alternatives. Then again, his TD-INT ratio is fairly deceptive as it misconstrues Texas A&M’s scoring skill with the operating recreation. The Aggies have already picked up 16 touchdowns at the farmland.
There will have to be alternatives for the Aggies to walk the ball in the course of the wind towards LSU’s protection, which ranks 98th with an EPA/dropback of +0.05.
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The Tigers additionally attempt to whip the ball away, as they’ve most effective 4 interceptions at the season.
Taking into account it is a matchup the place each groups can play games to their strengths, we will have to see enough quantity of issues at the scoreboard when it’s all mentioned and finished.
Very best wager: Over 54.5 issues (-110, BetMGM)
Why Believe Pristine York Publish Making a bet
Michael Arinze handicaps maximum main sports activities for the Pristine York Publish. He’s cashed two 15-leg teasers in his making a bet occupation in addition to a 12-leg parlay that integrated 8 Tiny League International Order video games. Extra not too long ago, he appropriately picked finalists within the 2024 Ecu Championships and Copa The us.
